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predictive accuracy of the yield-spread approach. The results show that the accuracy of predictions of growth and recessions …
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A 'lost decade' for the Eurozone is looming on the horizon. Under these circumstances, stable indicators for future economic activity are especially valuable to decision makers. This paper examines the predictive power of the yield spread, one of the most reliable indicators for gross domestic...
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durch sogenannte "unspanned factors". Dies sind Faktoren, welche nicht durch die Zinsstruktur aufgespannt werden. "Unspanned … factors" sind Zustandsvariablen, welche Bond-Risikoprämien beeinflussen, aber nicht die aktuelle Zinsstruktur. Diese Faktoren …
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