Showing 31 - 40 of 33,472
a single concept of relevance delivers this for a wide range of models, including models that allow for ambiguity … attitude.  We also use symmetry and relevance to provide insight into the foundations of the α-MEU and smooth ambiguity models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010605069
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010897328
relevant measures as reflecting part of perceived ambiguity, meaning subjective uncertainty about probabilities over states …. Under mild conditions, we show that increases or decreases in ambiguity aversion cannot affect the relevant measures. This … property, necessary for the conclusion that these measures reflect only perceived ambiguity, distinguishes the set of relevant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010780802
Testing whether risk professionals (here insurers) behave differently under risk and ambiguity when they cover … experiment in the United States designed to distinguish two sources of ambiguity: imprecise ambiguity (outside experts agree on a … range of probability, but not on any point estimate) versus conflict ambiguity (each expert group provides precise …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008602582
This paper analyzes dynamic choice for ambiguity-sensitive decision makers. It demonstrates that unambiguous behavioral … decision models and updating rules, and delivers unambiguous welfare comparisons. As an example, a characterization of prior …-by-prior Bayesian updating and Consistent Planning for arbitrary maxmin-expected utility preferences is presented. The resulting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011599450
In this paper, we consider a decision-maker who tries to learn the distribution of outcomes from previously observed cases. For each observed database of cases the decision-maker predicts a set of priors expressing his beliefs about the underlying probability distribution. We impose a version of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270218
sufficiently high ambiguity, more than two messages are often necessary to implement the optimal decision rule of S, though only … not implement the optimal decision rule of S, which is not the case in the absence of ambiguity. Fourth, we show that the … addition of a little ambiguity may generate influential communication that is unambiguously advantageous to S. Fifth, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010332670
updating rules are quite heterogeneous. For most subjects, we can reject the objective equality hypothesis that beliefs are … pessimism/optimism in beliefs. The Bayesian updating hypothesis can be rejected; Most subjects under-adjust beliefs in response …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012432761
regarding the realization likelihood of cash flows, the subjective attitude towards risk, and the attitude towards ambiguity …. While previous literature looks at the total price discount under ambiguity, this paper investigates with laboratory … belief effects, the risk premiums, and the ambiguity premiums from each other. Both methods lead to similar results: Overall …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489886
Observed individual behavior in the presence of ambiguity is characterized by insufficient responsiveness to changes in … subjective likelihoods. Such likelihood insensitivity under ambiguity is integral to theoretical models and predictive of … and determining factors. This paper investigates the role of beliefs in the form of ambiguity perception - the extent to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013330060