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The α-MEU model and the smooth ambiguity model are two popular models in decision making under ambiguity. However, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012670885
We study the effect of ambiguity on timing decisions. An agent faces a stopping problem with an uncertain stopping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014374788
Probabilistic risk beliefs are key drivers of economic and health decisions, but people are not always certain about their beliefs. We study these "imprecise probabilities", also known as ambiguous beliefs. We show that imprecision is measurable separately from the levels of risk beliefs. People...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014469382
’s degree of ambiguity and degree of pessimism are each parameterized, we present a rather general theory of religious choice in … ambiguity. Using comparative static analysis, we are able to show how changes in either the degree of ambiguity or the degree of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005135357
When ambiguity averse investors process news of uncertain quality, they act as if they take a worst-case assessment of … returns, increase price volatility and induce ambiguity premia that depend on idiosyncratic risk in fundamentals. Moreover …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504015
This paper considers learning when the distinction between risk and ambiguity (Knightian uncertainty) matters. Working … that cannot be captured by noisy signals. They induce nonmonotonic changes in agent confidence and prevent ambiguity from … participation costs that depend on past market performance. Hedging of ambiguity provides a new reason why the investment horizon …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504040
When ambiguity averse investors process news of uncertain quality, they act as if they take a worst-case assessment of … induce ambiguity premia that depend on idiosyncratic risk in fundamentals. Moreover, shocks to information quality can have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504043
extremes: total ambiguity and no ambiguity. For total ambiguity, we show there is “designer religion,” which is a religion that … will capture all decision makers applying any one of the standard decision criteria. For no ambiguity, we characterize when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005426899
This paper analyzes a model of decision under ambiguity, deemed vector expected utility or VEU. According to the …, and (2) an ambiguity-adjustment term. The adjustment term may be interpreted as reflecting the variability of the act f … location and sign changes. A behavioral characterization of the VEU model is provided. Furthermore, an updating rule for VEU …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252481
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and diff erently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427183