This paper argues that declining transaction costs in exporting on the one hand and the structural and institutional barriers to importing and consumption on the other hand are the main causes for China's rising current account surplus. Reforms in China's planning, financial, and regulatory...

This paper attacks the Meese-Rogoff (exchange rate disconnect) puzzle from a different perspective: out-of-sample interval forecasting. Most studies in the literature focus on point forecasts. In this paper, we apply Robust Semi-parametric (RS) interval forecasting to a group of Taylor rule...

It was in August last year that the iInternal Reference News/i issued by the New China News Agency published my concept of the strategy of the great international cycle; now, in the short period since then, this concept has become the new strategy for development of the coastal areas. I had not...

This study evaluates the household food demand patterns among different income sorts in urban and rural areas of Pakistan and estimation of food expenditure and household size elasticities. The different income sorts are the Lower Income Group(≤ 8000), Lower-middle Income Group(8001-12000),...

This paper proposes the way of setting the dynamic impawn rate by dividing the impawn periods into different risk windows. In an efficient financial market, the return is hypothetically independent, while in a pledged inventory market where spot transactions predominate, the return is...

The general goal of the next stage of Chinese economic development is to go forward toward a mature industrialized society, a process that may continue well into the middle of the next century. To reach this goal, we must choose a correct development strategy, and, to do so, there must be...