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global financial cycles. Using an increase to the Federal Funds Rate as a proxy for a sudden stop shock to a small open … exchange rate cannot fully buffer the effects of a global financial shock due to the tight integration of global financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492052
model. We find that a union aggregate systemic risk shock results in a sharp decline in output, with two thirds of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012704731
This paper investigates financial contagion of three emerging market crises of the late 1990s, as well as the subprime crisis of 2007, focusing on financial markets of emerging economies, USA and 2 global indices. Conventional cointegration and vector error correction analysis show long and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111936
This paper assesses the vulnerability of Latin American and Caribbean (LAC) economies to external crises. It shows that while the average LAC economy has made significant strides to reduce vulnerability to crises to its historical minimum, there is still considerable room for improvement,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014536612
Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilizing for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. Policy responses were more complex for developed economies with very low interest rates after the Global Financial Crisis (GFC). We document, however,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890990
Global risk-off shocks can be highly destabilising for financial markets and, absent an adequate policy response, may trigger severe recessions. In Caballero and Kamber (2019), we document that the unconventional policies adopted by the main central banks were effective in containing asset price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870096
Over the past two decades, emerging market economies have improved their external liability structures by increasing the share of debt denominated in local currencies, while foreign currency debt is considered a major source of financial instability. This paper embeds the debt denomination...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013243873
Over the past two decades, emerging market economies have improved their liability structures by increasing the share of their debt denominated in local currency. This paper embeds the debt denomination choice in a sudden stop model and explores how this alternative structure sheds new...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013300197
The globalization of international financial markets has renewed interest in the measurement of capital mobility. Consumption-based tests such as the Euler equation test are commonly used. These tests, however, are derived under restrictive assumptions on consumer behavior. In this paper, we ask...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010260543
This paper shows that FED policy announcements lead to a significant increase in international co-movement in the cross-section of equity and particularly sovereign CDS market. The effect is strongest for emerging markets, when the FED relaxes unconventionary monetary policies, and for countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011874674