Real GDP growth rate in developed countries is found to be a sum of two terms. The first term is the reciprocal value … the square root of real GDP per capita. Hence, evolution of real GDP is defined by only one parameter - the number of … is derived for real GDP per capita. Annual increment of GDP per capita is also a combination of economic trend term and …

important for monetary policy analysis, i.e. inflation, GDP, productivity, employment, labour force, unemployment and financial … misjudgements for productivity growth have had effects on forecasts for both inflation and GDP, but the results suggest that the …

We evaluate the forecasting performance of six different models for short-term forecasting of Macedonian GDP: 1) ARIMA … model; 2) AR model estimated by the Kalman filter; 3) model that explains Macedonian GDP as a function of the foreign demand …; 4) small structural model that links GDP components to a small set of explanatory variables; 5) static factor model that …

We evaluate the forecasting performance of six different models for short-term forecasting of Macedonian GDP: 1) ARIMA … model; 2) AR model estimated by the Kalman filter; 3) model that explains Macedonian GDP as a function of the foreign demand …; 4) small structural model that links GDP components to a small set of explanatory variables; 5) static factor model that …

of professional GDP forecasts for the G7 countries over the period 1989–2010, we find evidence supporting the rational … consistent with the hypothesis that forecasters choose to smooth GDP forecasts to maximize their perceived ability. …

We evaluate the forecasting performance of six different models for short-term forecasting of Macedonian GDP: 1) ARIMA … model; 2) AR model estimated by the Kalman filter; 3) model that explains Macedonian GDP as a function of the foreign demand …; 4) small structural model that links GDP components to a small set of explanatory variables; 5) static factor model that …

credit card transactions as well cheques that clear through the banking system, as indicators of current GDP growth. Apart … them suitable candidate indicators. Controlling both for the release dates of various variables and the vintage of GDP … available to analysts at the time a nowcast is produced, we generate nowcasts of GDP growth for a given quarter over a span of …