A scenario is a policy analysis tool that describes a possible set of future conditions. The most useful scenarios (for corporations, for policy decision makers) are those that display the conditions of important variables over time. In this approach, the quantitative underpinning enriches the...

The Markov chains model is frequently used to describe consumers’ behavior in relation to their loyalty towards a brand, a manufacturer, a product, o a chain of stores, etc. Most frequently, this model is applied in marketing for dynamic forecasts of the market quota against a background of...

The following hypotheses about long-range market forecasting were examined: Hl Objective methods provide more accuracy than do subjective methods. H2 The relative advantage of objective over subjective methods increases as the amount of change in the environment increases. H3 Causal methods...

Recent research has shown that recursive real-time VAR forecasts of the real price of oil tend to be more accurate than forecasts based on oil futures prices of the type commonly employed by central banks worldwide. Such monthly forecasts, however, differ in several important dimensions from the...

In modern supply chain, forecasting is critical for managers to ensure the availability of the proper amount of inventory to satisfy customers with minimum deviation. Without appropriate forecasting, it is very difficult to plan effectively and efficiently. After scanning the literature, it is...

Predicting bankruptcy of companies has been a hot subject of focus for many economists. The rationale for developing and predicting the financial distress of a company is to develop a predictive model used to forecast the financial condition of a company by combining several econometric...

Systemic Risk and Complex Networks in Modern Financial Systems -- Systemic Risk and Network Science: A Bibliometric and Systematic Review -- A Holistic Journey into Systemic Risk: Theoretical Background, Transmission Channels and Policy Implication -- Macro-prudential Policies to Mitigate...

This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...