The Volume-Synchronized Probability of Informed trading (VPIN) metric is introduced by Easley, López de Prado, and O'Hara (2011a) as a real-time indicator of order flow toxicity. They find the measure useful in monitoring order flow imbalances and conclude it may help signal impending market...

In Andersen and Bondarenko (2014), using tick data for S&P 500 futures, we establish that the VPIN metric of Easley, Lopez de Prado, and O'Hara (ELO), by construction, will be correlated with trading volume and return volatility (innovations). Whether VPIN is more strongly correlated with volume...

We argue that there is a connection between the interbank market for liquidity and the broader financial markets, which has its basis in demand for liquidity by banks. Tightness in the market for liquidity leads banks to engage in what we term “liquidity pull-back,” which involves selling...

This paper investigates the empirical relation between order imbalance and intraday NTD/USD exchange rate dynamics. Using one-year high frequency data, we demonstrate that interbank order imbalances have substantial explanatory power for concurrent exchange rate returns both on the daily and...

Many researches indicate informed trading during Leveraged buy-out (LBO) processes. In this study, we examine intraday dynamic relations between order imbalance, volatility and stock returns. The dynamic relation between volatility and order imbalances by a time-varying GARCH model is...

This study investigates the convergence process toward efficiency of daily top losers. We find that significance of order imbalance coefficients decreases with increasing time interval, indicating evidences on convergence to market efficiency. A time-varying GARCH model is employed to examine...

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to study the empirical relationship between order imbalance and returns in the backdrop of structural changes in the Indian market. Design/methodology/approach – The study makes use of hypothesis testing and dummy variable regression to investigate the...

We examine the dynamic relationship between self-tender returns, volatility and order imbalances. Since market makers care more about volatilities than inventory risk, they tend to lower the bid-ask spread to mitigate volatility. This result is different from the previous argument whereby market...