In this paper we propose a new macro-micro econometric framework which incorporates both aggregate labour demand and supply, and the labour market flows which determine the steady-state unemployment rate. Thus, we can simulate either demand or supply shocks and therefore assess their impacts on...

Over the last decade much research has been carried out on the topic of econometric non-stationary panel data, especially because of the availability of new datasets (e.g. the Penn World Tables) in which the time-series dimension and the cross-section dimension are of the same order of...

This paper is an applied analysis of the causal structure of linear multi-equational econometric models. Its aim is to identify the kind of relationships linking the endogenous variables of the model, distinguishing between causal links and feedback loops. The investigation is first carried out...

The effects of the recent economic recession have been widely discussed, particularly at the macro economic level. However, the economic downturn has been pervasive and has also determined a range of economic effects at different territorial levels. It has therefore become necessary to set up...

Risk measures, including Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional VaR (Expected Shortfall), turn out to be quite sensitive to the degree to which distributions are thick tailed and asymmetric. Lack of encoding information about asymmetry and leptokurtosis is a well-known drawback of the Gaussian law....