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Producers and consumers of commodities are likely to trade commodity futures with the dual intention of mitigating spot price risk and extracting profits through speculation, a practice known as selectively hedging. We put forward an integrated-signal approach to selective hedging that...
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We examine the relationship between investor mood and the demand for sustainable investments, proxied by inflows to sustainable mutual funds. We find that a worse mood is associated with greater inflows to sustainable funds. This finding is consistent with greater risk aversion pushing investors...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013290625
We examine the relationship between currency and commodity returns around the invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. We find that the expected positive contemporaneous relationship between currency and commodity returns reverses and becomes negative during this period of extreme geopolitical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013291061
This article demonstrates that momentum, term structure and idiosyncratic volatility signals in commodity futures markets are not overlapping which inspires a novel triple-screen strategy. We show that simultaneously buying contracts with high past performance, high roll-yields and low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037411
We present a model to forecast the probability of bear markets in the Spanish IBEX 35 with a congruent and concise parameterization which selects the explanatory factors from a wide set of variables like the yield curve of Spain, US and Europe, as well as several macro variables, and numerous...
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