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law with a focus on the dynamic part of the relationship. We find that the negative relationship between unemployment and … misspecification of the short run unemployment-output relationship. A mixed lag structure indirectly controls for missing explanatory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012040048
control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show … that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are related to cyclical movements in real activity and unemployment, in line with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995
Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth. This paper analyzes the reasons behind this disconcerting development. A major factor is the turnaround of the labor market that commenced around 2005. The successful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011897954
Despite massive digitization efforts, the German economy has experienced a marked slowdown in its productivity growth. This paper analyzes the reasons behind this disconcerting development. A major factor is the turnaround of the labor market that commenced around 2005. The successful...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900858
relationship between the key macroeconomic tools of maintaining macroeconomic stability: inflation and unemployment. Our empirical … findings showed that unemployment rate and inflation are positively associated in Uzbekistan, which contradicts with the … Phillips curve. However, we found the Okun’s law holds which indicates an unemployment rate and economic growth are negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014358333
Commission proposes a production function methodology that involves the estimation of two classes of Gaussian state space models … unobserved component models and offers frequentist as well as Bayesian estimation techniques. Additional functionalities include … preparation, model specification, and estimation processes using RGAP. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013256541
The impact of economic fluctuations on the total unemployment rate is widely studied, however, with respect to age- and … gender-specific unemployment, this relationship is not so well examined. We apply the gap version of Okun’s law, aiming to … estimate youth unemployment rate sensitivity to output deviations from its potential level. Additionally, we aim to compare …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012132298
We set up and estimate a structural unobserved components open economy model for the rate of unemployment and the real … factors. Thus, the results indicate that the dramatic changes in the Swedish unemployment rate during the 1990s mainly was a … inflation is found to be quite sensitive to the unemployment gap. An increase in cyclical unemployment by 1 percentage point …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011583137
New-Keynesian macroeconomic models typically assume that any long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment is … rate, unemployment and inflation in West Germany from the early 1960s up to 2004 using a multivariate co … data a strong negative correlation between the trend components of inflation and unemployment. We show that this finding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010426365
We investigate how a macroeconomic uncertainty shock affects the labor market. We focus on the uncertainty transmission mechanism, for which we employ a set of worker flow indicators in addition to labor stock variables. We incorporate common factors from such indicators into a framework that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030061