constituencies over time, I provide evidence of a significant impact of pre-election polls on electoral outcomes and shed light on a … election closeness and the effects vary heterogeneously depending on whether poll predictions are aligned with the past …

to comply with the outcomes of elections. Third-parties are most beneficial in close elections, when the threat of a post-election … confrontation alone fails to ensure self-enforcing compliance with election outcomes. Our analysis highlights that third-parties do … consequential third-party institutions when they fear that their narrow victory might not be recognized and result in a costly post-election …

avoid tax increases in election years. These data contain 3 useful attributes: (1) when state politicians enact tax laws, (2 …-analysis research plan that includes regressions of tax rate changes and tax enactment years on time-to-gubernatorial election year … implemented tax changes relative to non-election years. We find some evidence that politicians are most likely to enact tax …

millions of observations suggests that advertising affects election results by altering the partisan composition of the …

avoid tax increases in election years. Our data provide three items of information: (1) when state politicians enact tax … prespecified research plan that includes regressions of tax rate changes and tax enactment years on time-to-gubernatorial election … greater election effects on gasoline taxes than on corporate taxes appears to be, at least in part, due to political salience …

winner of the general election. …