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This paper develops a statistical theory to estimate an unknown factor structure based on financial high-frequency data …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937382
Several novel large volatility matrix estimation methods have been developed based on the high-frequency financial data. They often employ the approximate factor model that leads to a low-rank plus sparse structure for the integrated volatility matrix and facilitates estimation of large...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941598
I combine the discrete wavelet transform with support vector regression to forecast gold-pricedynamics. I investigate the advantages of this approach using a relatively small set of economic and financial predictors. In order to measure model performance, I differentiate between statistical and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012944906
This paper provides a selective overview on the recent development of factor models and their applications in econometric learning. We focus on the perspective of the low-rank structure of factor models, and particularly draws attentions to estimating the model from the low-rank recovery point...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012822829
We construct a network volatility index (NetVIX) via market interconnectedness and volatilities to measure global market turbulence. The NetVIX multiplicatively decomposes into an average volatility and a network amplifier index. It also additively decomposes into marginal volatility indices for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823040
The study determines if information extracted from a big data set that includes limit order book (LOB) and Dow Jones corporate news can help to improve realised volatility forecasting for 23 NASDAQ tickers over the sample from 28 June 2007 to 17 November 2016. The out-of-sample forecasting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824203
This paper introduces structured machine learning regressions for prediction and nowcasting with panel data consisting of series sampled at different frequencies. Motivated by the empirical problem of predicting corporate earnings for a large cross-section of firms with macroeconomic, financial,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826088
The sample skewness and kurtosis of macroeconomic and financial time series are routinely scrutinized in the early stages of model-building and are often the central topic of studies in economics and finance. Notwithstanding the availability of several robust estimators, most scholars in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870892
This paper uses wavelets to decompose each stock's trading-volume variance into frequency-specific components. We find that stocks dominated by short-run fluctuations in trading volume have abnormal returns that are 1% per month higher than otherwise similar stocks where short-run fluctuations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012969137
This paper constructs an estimator for the number of common factors in a setting where both the sampling frequency and the number of variables increase. Empirically, we document that the covariance matrix of a large portfolio of US equities is well represented by a low rank common structure with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013003349