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that includes a nonlinear function of the financial shock. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013207315
financial shocks generate effects on the economy that increase more than proportionately in the size of the shock when the shock … is negative, but not when the shock is positive. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013179339
We document asymmetric responses of consumer spending to energy price shocks: Using a multiple-regime threshold vector autoregressive model estimated with Bayesian methods on US data, we find that positive energy price shocks have a larger negative effect on consumption compared with the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831022
a simple partial equilibrium model of financial inter-mediation. We find that the credit demand shock explains … shock contributes to most of the fluctuations in the short-term commercial paper rate. The financial inter-mediation shock … the credit shocks, we find that the financial inter-mediation shock has the largest impact on real economic activity. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831465
Vector autoregressive (VAR) models are widely used in practical studies, e.g., forecasting, modelling policy transmission mechanism, and measuring connection of economic agents. To better capture the dynamics, this paper introduces a new class of time-varying VAR models in which the coefficients...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313987
This paper provides new evidence on the effects of government spending shocks and the fiscal transmission mechanism in the euro area for the period 1980-2008. Our contribution is two-fold. First, we investigate changes in the macroeconomic impact of government spending shocks using time-varying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013316199
In 2001, the Fed has lowered interest rates in a series of cuts, starting from 6.5 per cent at the end of 2000 to 2.0 per cent by early November. This paper asks whether the Federal Reserve Bank has been surprising the markets, taking as given the conventional view about the effect of monetary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013320691
The paper employs a structural vector auto-regression (SVAR) along the lines of Blanchard and Quah (1989) and Clarida and Gali (1994) to identify the sources of changes in German international price competitiveness over the past 30 years. This leads to a separation of the driving forces of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446989
- 2018. We find that a growth shock is inequality-increasing, and an inequality shock is growthreducing. We also find …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012404500
are disproportionately hit by the shock and exit the labor force. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012417528