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We survey approaches to macroeconomic forecasting during the COVID-19 pandemic. Due to the unprecedented nature of the episode, there was greater dependence on information outside the econometric model, captured through either adjustments to the model or additional data. The transparency and...
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By lifting lockdown measures as coronavirus case numbers are rising and the vaccine rollout is proceeding slowly, the … is expected for 2022. The long-term economic consequences of the coronavirus pandemic are still unclear: For example, the …
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The outbreak of COVID-19 has brought the world economy at standstill which brings huge challenges to major affected countries. The impact of this disease on economy is highly uncertain putting policymakers in difficult situation to formulate appropriate policy in a short time. India being the...
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The German economy is recovering from the COVID-19 shock. With the successful containment of the coronavirus, output …
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We provide a methodology that efficiently combines the statistical models of nowcasting with the survey information for improving the (density) nowcasting of US real GDP. Specifically, we use the conventional dynamic factor model together with a stochastic volatility component as the baseline...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012295853
The consequences of the ongoing 2020 coronavirus pandemic are leaving deep marks on the global economy. In the first ….5 percentage points. Of course, the possibility of further coronavirus waves poses risks and trade conflict escalations cannot be …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012251296