We study the links between sovereign credit risk and the currency forward bias. In a setting of defaultable sovereign bonds, we show that the forward bias can be linked negatively to sovereign credit risk. We confirm empirically that the forward bias is negatively associated to sovereign CDS...

We study the links between sovereign credit risk and the currency forward bias. In a setting of defaultable sovereign bonds, we show that the forward bias can be negatively linked to sovereign credit risk. We confirm empirically that the forward bias is negatively associated to sovereign CDS...

We study the relationship between cross-sectional sovereign credit risk and currency spot prices. We find that past (up to 12-month average) sovereign credit risk, measured by sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads, predict future currency spot returns. In particular, we document a...

We investigate the link between sovereign credit default swaps (CDS) and currency carry trades. We demonstrate that the term structure of sovereign CDS exhibits a significant explanatory power for crash risk and currency risk. We show that global uncertainty shocks in developed economies have a...

We study the relationship between cross-sectional sovereign credit risk and currency spot prices. We find that past (up to 12-month average) sovereign credit risk, measured by sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads, predict future currency spot returns. In particular, we document a...

We study the relationship between cross-sectional sovereign credit risk and currency spot prices. We find that past sovereign credit risk, measured by sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads, predict future currency spot returns. In particular, we document a significant crosssectional...

We study the relationship between cross-sectional sovereign credit risk and currency spot prices. We find that past (up to 12-month average) sovereign credit risk, measured by sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads, predicts future currency spot returns. In particular, we document a...