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We develop a new asset pricing theory that bridges two seemingly unrelated anomalies: (1) the negative relationship between dispersion in financial analysts’ earnings forecasts and expected returns and (2) the negative relationship between ex-ante skewness and expected returns. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313088
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014320677
We analyze a model in which the value of a security is comprised of multiple distinct parts and private information about these pieces is scattered among investors. We show that as information is scattered into smaller, distinctively informative pieces, endogenous information acquisition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012935473
We demonstrate that uncertainty about future preferences is of first-order importance for understanding the history of aggregate asset prices. Our analysis shows that simply relaxing the assumption of deterministic aggregate elasticity of intertemporal substitution and relative risk aversion can...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931693
In asset pricing models, the indirect synchronizations of changes in time-varying relative risk aversion (RRA) with changes in elasticity of intertemporal substitution (EIS) and/or changes in consumption growth are overlooked confounding factors that limit our understanding of the role of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931694
I test the predictions of a new asset pricing model regarding the interaction of ex-ante return skewness and the dispersion of analysts' earnings forecasts on a sample of U.S. stocks. I present evidence that skewness and forecast dispersion have an interactive pricing impact, that forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934968
I present a new model of how ex-ante skewness affects expected asset prices. The price that supports a given short position in a positively- (negatively-) skewed asset is further from (closer to) expected value than is the price that supports a long position of the same magnitude, even in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934969
Turning points are the Achilles' heel of time-series momentum portfolios. Slow signals fail to react quickly to changes in trend while fast signals are often false alarms. We examine theoretically and empirically how momentum portfolios of various intermediate speeds, formed by blending slow and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013250406
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576152
I develop a new asset pricing theory that bridges two seemingly unrelated pricing effects from separate literatures: (1) the negative relationship between ex-ante return skewness and expected returns and (2) the negative relationship between dispersion in financial analysts' earnings forecasts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012966370