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protection selling in CDS, the effect being weaker when sovereign risk is high. Bank and country risk variables are mostly not … building a complete picture and understanding fully the economic drivers of the bank-sovereign nexus of risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898392
protection selling in CDS, the effect being weaker when sovereign risk is high. Bank and country risk variables are mostly not … building a complete picture and understanding fully the economic drivers of the bank-sovereign nexus of risk. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011888333
We introduce a method for measuring default risk connectedness of euro zone sovereign states using credit default swap (CDS) and bond data. The connectedness measure is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. Due to its predictive nature, it can respond more...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011958223
. However, after the announcement of the Outright Monetary Transaction (OMT) program by the European Central Bank, the … consistent cross-sectional relationship between default risk and bond yields is restored for the Eurozone countries only, a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853846
The recent financial and sovereign debt crises emphasized the interdependence between bank and sovereign default risk … interaction between bank and sovereign default risk by endogenously estimating the timing of structural breaks. The endogenous … characterized with an evident change in the bank-sovereign interaction, and we detect a bi-directional relationship only during the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012389039
This paper addresses the following questions. Is there evidence of financial contagion in the Eurozone? To what extent … matter concerning the Euro Zone. Second, differences in vulnerability to contagion within the Eurozone are even more … remarkable: the core Eurozone members become less vulnerable to EUZ contagion, possibly due to a safe-heaven effect, while …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731038
sparked an unprecedented sovereign debt crisis that rapidly spread to the Euro-Zone's weakest member states. As the crisis … increasingly drove a wedge between a seemingly resilient Euro-Zone core and its faltering periphery, its first collateral victims … were the private banks of the hardest-hit sovereigns. They were rapidly followed by the rest of the Euro-Zone's banks as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063273
During the last crisis, developed economies' sovereign Credit Default Swap (hereafter CDS) premia have gained in importance as a tool for approximating credit risk. In this paper, we fit a dynamic factor model to decompose the sovereign CDS spreads of ten OECD economies into three components: a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074345
swap index: the higher the bank credit risk, the higher the extra premium on fundamentals; 3) after ECB President Draghi …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974869
We introduce a methodology for measuring default risk connectedness that is based on an out-of-sample variance decomposition of model forecast errors. The out-of-sample nature of the procedure leads to "realized" measures which, in practice, respond more quickly to crisis occurrences than those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010503874