The prices of derivatives contracts can be used to estimate ‘risk-neutral' probability density functions that give an indication of the weight investors place on different future prices of their underlying assets, were they risk-neutral. In the likely case that investors are risk-averse, this...

This paper examines the unique ability of The Model: a structural credit risk model proposed in Buellesbach (2015), to match the market in ways unmatched by other well-known structural models. The Model demonstrates the capacity to accurately value firms' equity and debt across the entire credit...

The successful investment policy is an integral part of successful activity of the insurance company. The return to the shareholders of the insurance company usually thought of as comprising the underwriting result and investment income. The investment income is very important even for an...

This paper shows that factor risk premia can be consistently estimated using a semi-parametric estimate of the stochastic discount factor without requiring a correctly specified linear factor model. We use a minimum discrepancy objective function to construct a stochastic discount factor from...

I estimate and evaluate a model with a representative agent who is concerned that the persistence properties of her baseline model of consumption and inflation are misspecified. Coping with model uncertainty, she discovers a pessimistically biased worst-case model that dictates her behavior. I...

Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models are found in consequence of heteroskedasticity problem in financial time series. In our study, we find that returns of the Istanbul Stock Exchange Food And Beverage Index have an ARCH effect but they have not a unit root problem according to...