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. Symmetry is rejected for the short-run, thus for the given cointegration vectors the final modelling stage is based on the full …, where the VAR based cointegration analysis is combined with a graph-theoretic search for instantaneous causal relations and … unanticipated interest rate change by the Fed. -- Two-country model ; Cointegration ; Structural VAR ; Gets Model Selection …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009672516
An introduction to vector autoregressive (VAR) analysis is given with special emphasis on cointegration. The models … decompositions are presented as tools for analyzing VAR models. -- Cointegration ; forecasting ; dynamic econometric models ; impulse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009580483
CVAR fits the data very well. -- Commodity prices ; cointegration ; CVAR analysis ; global liquidity ; inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003844907
This paper explores the effects of non-standard monetary policies on international yield relationships. Based on a descriptive analysis of international long-term yields, we find evidence that long-term rates have followed a global downward trend prior to as well as during the financial crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011414128
Based on recent evidence of fractional cointegration in commodity spot and futures markets, we investigate whether a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010464770
The long-run and short-run structure of the Danish manufacturing export sector is analyzed within a cointegrated vector autoregressive model. The price variables of the analysis can be characterized as integrated of second order, I(2), but long-run homogeneity seems to cancel the I(2)-trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128160
Examples of simple economic theory models are analyzed as restrictions on the Cointegrated VAR (CVAR). This establishes a correspondence between basic economic concepts and the econometric concepts of the CVAR: The economic relations correspond to cointegrating vectors and exogeneity in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132127
Johansen and Nielsen (2010b). We first give an brief summary of the analysis of cointegration in the vector autoregressive … remaining parameters are asymptotically Gaussian. The asymptotic distribution of the likelihood ratio test for cointegration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136918
cointegrations. This is despite the fact that cointegration plays an important role in informing macroeconomists on a range of issues …. In this paper we develop a new time varying parameter model which permits cointegration. We use a specification which …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121913
country or region examined, systematic treatment of long-run properties through cointegration analysis, and flexible dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097003