Showing 161 - 170 of 638,525
learning. Credibility is measured by accuracy of this forecasting method relative to simple statistical forecasts. Credibility … evolves through reinforcement learning. Initial credibility and initial level of target price are key factors influencing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926679
We use the limited participation model of money as a laboratory for studying the operating characteristics of Taylor rules for setting the rate of interest. Rules are evaluated according to their ability to protect the economy from bad outcomes such as the burst of inflation observed in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471783
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168530
This paper studies the credibility of the currency peg of Cape Verde (CV) by assessing the impact of economic … either a larger risk premium or favourable exchange rate movements. We take this to be a sign of the credibility of the peg …, which apparently reflects the intertemporal credibility of CV's economic policy and so has successfully withstood …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012732953
We study the effects of a credible, gradual exchange rate based disinflation program in a two sector economy. After an initial real exchange rate depreciation, the reductions in the rate of devaluation reduce the monetary wedge generated by a cash in advance constraint, leading to a gradual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012781616
We study the optimal design of a disinflation plan by a planner who lacks commitment. Having announced a plan, the Central banker faces a tradeoff between surprise inflation and building reputation, defined as the private sector's belief that the Central bank is committed to the plan. Some plans...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012889127
The inconsistency of optimal policy comes from inconsistency between the social loss function and the economic structure. Accordingly, this paper designs a central bank loss function, which proves consistent with the economic structure. Under the designed central bank loss function discretionary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759912
credibility EBRS is associated with overheating and current account deficits, IRRs give rise to somewhat opposite results … costs infringed by imperfect credibility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012760044
This paper examines the costs of disinflation and the role of credibility in a model where pricing rules are optimal … between optimal pricing rules and credibility is essential in the determination of the costs of disinflation. A continued … be successful even when credibility is absent, provided that it is preceded by a mechanism of price alignment. We also …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012768042
Central banks that lack credibility often tie their exchange rate to that of a more credible partner in order to … “import” credibility. We show in a small open economy model that a central bank that displays “limited credibility” can … credibility will peg their currency to that of a more credible partner. As the central bank's credibility improves it will place …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012971241