Are academic insights effective for the real-life construction of a fund of funds, in hedge and mutual fund industries? It is typical for an academic approach to be based on ranking funds by a single quantitative measure. In practice, multiple quantitative metrics and due diligence factors are...

We describe a method to improve credit portfolio models based on the Merton model by adding to the underlying distributions forward-looking tails deducted through the Bayesian Networks technology. Given the forward-looking stance of the approach, its results give a better quanti ed picture of...

The present study examines a wide set of credit risk determinants for the Bulgarian banking system. Using both monthly and quarterly data and employing two methodologies, Vector Autoregressive and Autoregressive Distributed Lag models, we test ninety-one possible determinants of the banks'...

We introduce an approach to forecast individual bond liquidity and apply it to the U.S. corporate bond market. Our model combines three dynamic prediction models to get the most accurate estimate for future bond liquidity. We compare the new prediction methodology with the literature's current...

In this paper, we compare and contrast financial data science with econometrics and conclude that the former is inevitably interdisciplinary due to the numerous skill-sets needed within a competitive research team. The latter, in contrast, is firmly rooted in economics. Both areas are highly...

This study attempts to discover the nexus between crude oil price fluctuation after heavy oil upgrading and stock returns of petroleum companies in the U.S. Stock Exchange for the years 2008 to 2018. One of the methods of upgrading heavy crude oil is to extract asphaltene from crude oil....

Given the competition for top journal space, there is an incentive to produce “significant” results. With the combination of unreported tests, lack of adjustment for multiple tests, and direct and indirect p-hacking, many of the results being published will fail to hold up in the future. In...

We investigate the hypothesis that zero lower bound monetary policy has an effect on the correlations of financial assets. Using an event-study approach, we evaluate the impact of the zero lower bound monetary policies of the Bank of Japan, the Bank of England, and the Federal Reserve on the...

We evaluate the performance of common stock trade classification algorithms including the quote, tick, Lee and Ready (1991), and Ellis, Michaely, and O’Hara (2000) rule to infer the trade direction of option trades. Using a large sample of matched intraday transactions and Open/Close data, we...

As the operator of a systemically important payment system (SIPS), the Eurosystem has the responsibility of regularly assessing the resilience of the Trans-European Automated Real-time Gross Settlement Express Transfer System (TARGET2) to various types of risks, as set out in the Principles for...