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Postulating additivity of bid and ask prices for claims comonotone with a long or short stock position, two pricing processes are identified from data on bid and ask prices for options. It is observed that there are two separate put call parity relations in place, with the ask price for call...
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Trading strategies are valued using non-linear conditional expectations with respect to non-additive probabilities in a discrete time Markovian context. Non-additive probabilities attain conservatism by exaggerating upwards tail loss events and exaggerating downwards tail gain events. Steady...
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The bilateral gamma model for returns is naturally derived from the lognormal model. Maximizing entropy in a random time change delivers the symmetric variance gamma model. The asymmetric variance gamma follows on incorporating skewness. Differential speeds for the upward and downward motions...
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A Markov chain with an expanding non-uniform grid matching risk neutral marginal distributions is constructed. Conditional distributions of the chain are in the variance gamma class with prespecified skewness and excess kurtosis. Time change and space scale volatilities are calibrated from...
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Nonlinear martingale theory is used to form lower and upper price processes straddling a martingale. The martingale return is then modeled in terms of risk charges associated with the returns on the straddling lower and upper processes. The move to physically expected returns is made via the...
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"This is a comprehensive introduction to the brand new theory of conic finance, also referred to as the two-price theory, which determines bid and ask prices in a consistent and fundamentally motivated manner. Whilst theories of one price classically eliminate all risk, the concept of acceptable...
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