In this paper we provide evidence that the trading activity of small retail investors carries significant genuine information for the short term out-of-sample forecasting of foreign exchange rates. Our findings are based on a unique dataset of around 2000 retail investors from the OANDA FXTrade...

We examine whether financial analysts—sophisticated market participants—are subject to limited attention. We find that when analysts have another firm in their coverage portfolio announcing earnings on the same day as the sample firm (a “concurrent announcement”), they are less likely to...

This paper explores the information content of option implied volatility around the announcements and issue dates of Seasoned Equity Offerings (SEOs). The literature on SEOs indicates that announcements and issue dates contain important information about firms and therefore provide profitable...

This study examines the value relevance of the timing of earnings announcement dates relative to prior expectations. It shows that when firms advance their earnings announcements at least four days prior to expectations, the earnings surprises in those quarters tend to be positive and the...

This paper provides empirical evidence on the ability of consensus prices to reduce valuation uncertainty in the over-the-counter market for financial derivatives. The analysis is based on a proprietary data set of price estimates for S&P500 index options provided by major broker-dealers to a...

We propose the option realized variance as an observable variable to summarize information from high-frequency option data. This variable aggregates intraday option returns from midquote prices to compute the option's total variability for a given day. Using the S&P 500 index time series and...

The estimation of market impact is crucial for measuring the information content of trades and for transaction cost analysis. Hasbrouck's (1991) seminal paper proposed a Structural-VAR (S-VAR) to jointly model mid-quote changes and trade signs. Recent literature has highlighted some pitfalls of...