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This paper provides new evidence that investor attention explains positive returns around earnings announcements and reconciles the attention explanation with information-based explanations in the literature. I use earnings notifications, which are attention-grabbing announcements of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012936478
The earnings announcement premium, whereby a stock earns abnormal returns over its earnings announcement period, has been the subject of extensive research. We provide the first evidence that this premium has disappeared in the US in recent years. We show that the increased filings of material...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850714
In this paper, we provide an estimate of the ex-ante risk premia on earnings announcements based on the option market. We find that the risk premia are time-varying and have predictive power on future stock returns. With our ex-ante risk premia as a measure of uncertainty before each earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014261968
The literature on ‘cash flow' or ‘earnings' beta is theoretically well-motivated in its use of fundamentals, instead of returns, to measure systematic risk. However, empirical measures of earnings beta based on either log-linearizing the return equation or log-linearizing the clean-surplus...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832530
We show that immediate and delayed abnormal returns following earnings announcement surprises differ across market states. Immediate abnormal returns are more sensitive to earnings surprises in down markets, while delayed abnormal returns are less sensitive; underreaction is attenuated in down...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013096116
The Post-Earnings Announcement Drift (PEAD) anomaly refers to the tendency of stock prices to continue drifting in the same direction as earnings surprises well through the subsequent earnings announcements; ignoring the autocorrelations in extreme earnings surprises across adjacent quarters....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090197
Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during major information events. This paper investigates whether...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039227
We show that 71% of the earnings announcement premium takes place before, rather than after, earning releases. We attribute this pattern to uncertainty resolution before earnings announcement, and provide compelling evidence that high uncertainty stocks experience more uncertainty resolution and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012834681
The relation between average equity return and market exposure behaves distinctively on days on which early earnings announcements are made by firms for which the announcements have a large spillover “influence” on discount rates and expectations of earnings for related firms. On such days...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012841900
We examine how abnormal dark market share changes at earnings announcements and find a statistically and economically significant increase in abnormal dark market share in the weeks prior to, during, and following the earnings announcement. The increase in dark market share is larger for firms...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901487