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Since the collapse of the Metallgesellschaft AG due to hedging losses in 1993, energy practitioners have been concerned … hedging long-dated futures and options with their short-dated counterparts, we find that the long-term tracking errors are, on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012626875
Options on crude oil futures are the most actively traded commodity options. We develop a class of computationally efficient discrete-time jump models that allow for closed-form option valuation, and we use crude oil futures and options data to investigate the economic importance of jumps and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646275
Options on crude oil futures are the most actively traded commodity options. We develop a class of computationally efficient discrete-time jump models that allow for closed-form option valuation, and we use crude oil futures and options data to investigate the economic importance of jumps and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012850215
Little is known about trading activity in commodity options market. We study the information content of commodity futures and options trading volume. Time-series tests indicate that futures contracts in a portfolio with the lowest option-to-futures volume ratio (O/F) outperform those in a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840905
methodology. The study shows that hedging effectiveness improves in cross hedging and composite hedging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131732
This paper develops a methodology to test whether recent developments on world oil markets are in line with the hypothesis of efficient markets. We treat the joint hypothesis problem as stated by Fama (1970), Fama (1991), that market efficiency can only be assessed in conjunction with a price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115114
In this paper, we propose an easy-to-use yet comprehensive model for a system of cointegrated commodity prices. While retaining the exponential affine structure of previous approaches, our model allows for an arbitrary number of cointegration relationships. We show that the cointegration...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507774
Implied correlation, jointly extracted from index and stock options, is a robust predictor of long-term market returns. We document that its predictive power stems from its role as a leading procyclical state variable, predicting future investment opportunities, that is, financial-market risks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900103
We find that commodity risk is priced in the cross-section of US stock returns. Following the financialization of commodities, investors hedge commodity price risk directly in the futures market, primarily via commodity index investments, whereas before they gained commodity exposure mainly via...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013068442
A new measure of hedging pressure in commodity options markets—commercial hedgers’ net short option exposure … values of option hedging pressure are greater. This pattern is consistent with commercial traders’ natural hedging motives. A … consideration of margin requirements. Overall, our results confirm the existence of hedging premiums, demand effects, and limits to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013211279