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silent on the impact of macroeconomic uncertainty on oil and commodity prices and, especially, on their volatility. This … prices. Interestingly, our analysis further reveals that volatility and uncertainty in prices can be disconnected. This is … volatility do not generate price uncertainty, highlighting the relevance of our uncertainty measure in linking uncertainty to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979596
We extend the body of research, formerly covering the range derivative contracts and implied volatility pricing, to … incorporate volatility clustering in forecasting and hope to derive diversification benefits alongside enhanced trading …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012859114
We study the impact of climate volatility on economic growth exploiting data on 133 countries between 1960 and 2005. We … show that the conditional (ex ante) volatility of annual temperatures increased steadily over time, rendering climate … temperatures, a +1oC increase in temperature volatility causes on average a 0.9 per cent decline in GDP growth and a 1.3 per cent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012608712
attributed to commodity price volatility in developed and developing countries, with the uncertainty effect being more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015047800
oil price volatility on each sector in Japan, the world's third-largest crude oil consumer. In order to do so, we apply a … most sectors to oil price volatility declined. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305347
vector autoregressions with Markov switching in heteroskedasticity. We decompose changes in futures price volatility into … and increases the hedging costs of producers and processors of oil when volatility is high …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926240
The purpose of the present paper is to test for asymmetry in the Greek retail gasoline price adjustments to crude oil price changes for the period January 2005-July 2012.The empirical analysis provides evidence that the adjustment of gasoline prices to oil price changes is asymmetric, in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926819
We present a weekly structural Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model of the US crude oil market. Exploiting weekly data we can explain short-run crude oil price dynamics, including those related with the COVID-19 pandemic and with the Russia's invasion of Ukraine. The model is set identified with a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013254444
investigate how oil price volatility behaves when the index unexpectedly changes. I find that unexpected increases in the … newspaper index are strongly associated with higher levels of oil price volatility, both realized and implied. In some cases …, interest levels and price volatility appear to be driven by the OPEC event itself, such as the Iraq invasion of Kuwait. In …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011880504
oil price volatility on each sector in Japan, the world’s third-largest crude oil consumer. In order to do so, we apply a … most sectors to oil price volatility declined …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014132844