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Uncertainty plays a key role in the economics of climate change, and the discussions surrounding its implications for climate policy are far from settled. We give an overview of the literature on uncertainty in integrated assessment models of climate change and identify some future research...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798041
Climate risk is particularly burdensome to small-scale farmers in developing countries due to heavy dependence on … rural populations, and the risks they are facing. This paper presents an approach to measuring climate risk and its impact … decisions of households affect income and risk in different production systems. Assuming possible future scenarios we can derive …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857667
The social cost of carbon - or marginal damage caused by an additional ton of carbon dioxide emissions - has been estimated by a U.S. government working group at $21/tCO2 in 2010. That calculation, however, omits many of the biggest risks associated with climate change, and downplays the impact...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009521469
This note considers the treatment of risk and uncertainty in the recently established "social cost of carbon" (SCC) for … discounting, it mis-estimated climate risk, possibly hugely. Given the uncertainty about estimating the SCC, the note concludes by … that very target. -- Ambiguity ; climate change ; discounting ; integrated assessment modelling ; risk ; social cost of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009238751
The social cost of carbon - or marginal damage caused by an additional ton of carbon dioxide emissions - has been estimated by a U.S. government working group at $21 in 2010. That calculation, however, omits many of the biggest risks associated with climate change, and downplays the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009304029
assumption of (intertemporal) risk neutrality reduces the growth effect in social discounting and significantly amplifies the … importance of risk and correlation. Second, debate and models largely overlook the difference in attitude with respect to risk … and with respect to non-risk uncertainty. The paper derives the resulting changes of the risk-free and the stochastic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009488887
International climate negotiations take place in a setting where uncertainties regarding the impacts of climate change are very large. In this paper, we examine the influence of increasing the probability and impact of large climate change damages, also known as the 'fat tail', on the formation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009690831
Individual risk preference may change after experiencing external socio-economic or natural shocks. Theoretical … predictions and empirical studies suggest that risk taking may increase or decrease after experiencing shocks. So far the … whether experiencing financial and health-related damage caused by storms affects risk preference of individuals in Germany …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011454120
' perspective and aims to create a higher awareness of companies' risk drivers when it comes to specific challenges of different …´ perspective on climate-related risk-drivers, comprising i) changes in regulation, ii) changes in physical climate parameters and … related risks for companies. Furthermore, the results also facilitate a comparison of risk drivers between and within sectors …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011489285
If the threshold that triggers climate catastrophe is known with certainty, and the benefits of avoiding catastrophe are high relative to the costs, treaties can easily coordinate countries' behavior so as to avoid the threshold. Where the net benefits of avoiding catastrophe are lower, treaties...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009684058