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This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372
This work quantifies the financial and macroeconomic effects of the most significant Brexit events from 23 June 2016 up to 31 December 2019 for fifteen economies. The study uses high-frequency data and shows that following the referendum outcome, overall the 10-year government bond yield of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013289046
estimation of a VAR-GARCH model. The results can be summarized as follows. Negative news have significant positive effects on … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417491
estimation of a VAR-GARCH model. The results can be summarised as follows. Negative news have significant positive effects on … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417494
for stochastic volatility both at the regional and country specific level. Despite the share of national variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356030
This paper proposes a new econometric approach to disentangle two distinct response patterns of the yield curve to monetary policy announcements. Based on cojumps in intraday tick-data of a short and long term interest rate, we develop a day-wise test that detects the occurrence of a significant...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009787101
The paper proposes new measures of unexpected monetary decisions to characterise two important dimensions of the European Central Bank's monetary policy. Our new surprise measures outperform compellingly the traditionally used monetary shocks in explaining daily variation of euro area interest...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114930
We propose a new monetary policy surprise measure based on cojumps in tick-data of a short and long term interest rate. We extend a recently proposed test for cojumps to distinguish policy announcements that shift the short and long end of the yield curve in the same direction (level shift) and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343631
increases in realized volatility and arrive when differences-in-opinion among market participants are large at times of FOMC … press releases. Unlike intensity jumps, volatility jumps fail to explain the variation in news-induced realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406297
portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses … nonparametric. New confidence intervals quantify the term structure estimation error. The framework is applied to estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730