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This paper documents that ECB announcements increase the stock market volatility in the euro area (EA) on the same day …. I consider two volatility measures from January 1998 to May 2019. First, a realized volatility measure uses intraday … data for 8 different stock market indices. Second, a range measure approximates volatility using daily prices from 11 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012286218
Empirical evidence suggests that fixed income markets exhibit unspanned stochastic volatility (USV), that is, that one … cannot fully hedge volatility risk solely using a portfolio of bonds. While Collin-Dufresne and Goldstein (2002) showed that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011761277
capturing interest rate risk. The so-called Stochastic Volatility Nelson-Siegel (SVNS) model allows for stochastic volatility in … evidence for time-varying volatility in the yield factors. This is mostly true for the level and slope volatility revealing … also the highest persistence. It turns out that the inclusion of stochastic volatility improves the model's goodness …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952795
time variability of conditional yield volatility simultaneously. Models in this class are, in this regard, able to break … three unspanned stochastic volatility factors, which, correlate strongly withthe level and slope factor of conditional yield … volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012832170
This paper analyses the attributes and the significance of the roughness of oil market volatility. We employ unspanned … stochastic volatility models driven by rough Brownian motions that yield semi-analytical prices for futures options entailing … futures and provide empirical evidence of the roughness in oil volatility. Introducing just one additional parameter, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014260238
We estimate a production‐based general equilibrium model featuring demand‐ and supply‐side uncertainty and an endogenous term premium. Using term structure and macroeconomic data, we find sizable effects of uncertainty on risk premia and business cycle fluctuations. Both demand‐ and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014362538
with time-varying loading coefficients and stochastic volatility, which allows for capturing changes in the pricing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011637545
The macroeconomic effect of term premiums is a controversial issue both theoretically and quantitatively. In this paper, we explore the possibility that term premiums affect inflation and the real economy via exchange rate dynamics. For this purpose, we construct a small open economy model with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012869821
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991346
liquidity management are responsible for a significant decrease in the interest rate volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136867