Measuring timely high-resolution socioeconomic outcomes is critical for policy making and evaluation, but hard to reliably obtain. With the help of machine learning and cheaply available data such as social media and nightlight, it is now possible to predict such indices in fine granularity....

This paper studies the predictability of ultra high-frequency stock returns and durations to relevant price, volume and transactions events, using machine learning methods. We find that, contrary to low frequency and long horizon returns, where predictability is rare and inconsistent,...

This paper studies the predictability of ultra high-frequency stock returns and durations to relevant price, volume and transactions events, using machine learning methods. We find that, contrary to low frequency and long horizon returns, where predictability is rare and inconsistent,...