Exposure-at-default is one of the most interesting and most difficult parameters to estimate in counterparty credit risk. Basel I offered only the non-internal Current Exposure Method for estimating this quantity whilst Basel II further introduced the Standardized Method and an Internal Model...

We use cross-country data on a sample of large European banks to evaluate the impact of government ownership on bank risk. We distinguish between default risk (likelihood of creditors' losses) and operating risk (likelihood of negative equity). Our analysis is based on the joint use of issuer...

This paper runs qualitative and quantitative analyses of the financial soundness of Danish banks. Helped by a series of Denmark's financial policy initiatives, banks have made progress in improving financial stability. However, vulnerabilities remain. To mitigate risks, banks should continue to...

This paper highlights the changing collateral landscape and how it may shape the global demand/supply for collateral. We first identify the key collateral pools (relative to the "old" collateral space) and associated collateral velocities. Post-Lehman and continuing into the European crisis,...

Changes in collateralization have been implicated in significant default (or near-default) events during the financial crisis, most notably with AIG. We have developed a framework for quantifying this effect based on moving between Merton-type and Black-Cox-type structural default models. Our...

This paper assesses the linkages between economic activity, foreign reserve, money, credit, inflation and house prices in China over last decade. The analysis is based on a structural VAR estimated using monthly data spanning the period June 2001-December 2011. We find important responses of...

The recent crisis has spurred the use of stress tests as a (crisis) management and early warning tool. However, a weakness is that they omit potential risks embedded in the banking groups™ geographical structures by assuming that capital and liquidity are available wherever they are needed...

There are few things more constant in life than the rise and fall of financial markets. When markets crash, however, we are forced to restore them while learning from our mistakes. In the wake of the recent subprime mortgage crisis, Congress has drastically but deservedly overhauled the...

During the course of the last few years, major international banks have increasingly resorted to using non-traditional capital instruments to expand their own regulatory capital and thus increase the volume of total assets and/or level of risk. This paper begins by comparing the features of the...