Sell-side security analysts are considered as financial intermediaries who process, transform and transfer information in order to enable investors to make appropriate investment decisions. Prior research provides mixed evidence on the effect of experience on analysts' accuracy. In this paper we...

We find that the salience distortions of past fundamental information significantly predict future analyst forecast errors in both Chinese and U.S. markets. Fundamental salience is more potent in distorting long-term beliefs. Predictable forecast errors are more pronounced in firms with opaque...

We develop a simple nonlinear stock market model in which speculators switch between technical and fundamental trading rules depending on market conditions. Additionally, we assume that agents are unaware of the true current fundamental value and, thus, use a weighted average of the current...

We use long-distance running as a quasi-natural experiment and study whether endurance activities affect fund managers' trading behavior. We find that funds with a larger share of marathon runner managers are less prone to the disposition effect. A higher representation of runner managers also...

We study how analysts' cultural attitudes to time orientation affect their production of long-term earnings forecasts, the profitability of their stock recommendations, and managerial myopia for the firms they cover. We find that analysts from a long-term oriented culture produce more long-term...

This paper develops textual sentiment measures for China's stock market by extracting the textual tone of 60 million messages posted on a major online investor forum in China from 2008 to 2018. We conduct sentiment extraction by using both conventional dictionary methods based on customized word...

This research aims to examine empirically the overreliance on representativeness heuristic and anchoring-adjustment influences experienced by investors in forecasting future earnings. This research was a laboratory experiment with a design of 2x2 full factorial between subject. The results...

Technological progress in recent years has made new methods available for making forecasts in a variety of areas. We examine the success of ex-ante stock market forecasts of three major stock market indices, i.e., the German Stock Market Index (DAX), the Dow Jones Industrial Index (DJI), and the...

We document a negative relation between air pollution during corporate site visits by investment analysts and subsequent earnings forecasts. After accounting for analyst, weather, and firm characteristics, an extreme worsening of air quality from “good/excellent” to “severely polluted”...

We compare the performance of financial professionals (CFAs) with university students in four financial forecasting tasks ranging from simple lab prediction tasks to longitudinal field tasks. Although students and professionals performed similarly in the artificial forecasting tasks, their...