This research aims to examine empirically the overreliance on representativeness heuristic and anchoring-adjustment influences experienced by investors in forecasting future earnings. This research was a laboratory experiment with a design of 2x2 full factorial between subject. The results...

This paper develops textual sentiment measures for China's stock market by extracting the textual tone of 60 million messages posted on a major online investor forum in China from 2008 to 2018. We conduct sentiment extraction by using both conventional dictionary methods based on customized word...

The purpose of this paper is to make a quantitative and qualitative critical analyse regarding the three important aspects of stock market evolution. First, the forecasting problems are presented and analyse in order to establish the main problems and the potential solutions. Second, the...

This paper provides evidence of confirmation bias by sell-side analysts in their earnings forecasts. We show that analysts tend to put higher weight on public information when the current forecast consensus is more consistent with their previous forecasts. We further find that analysts with...

We examine whether finance professionals deviate from Bayes’ theorem on the processing of nondiagnostic information when forecasting quarterly earnings. Using field data from sell-side financial analysts and employing a regression discontinuity design, we find that analysts whose forecasts...

Prior literature shows decision fatigue (the decline of decision quality after extensive decision-making) reduces analysts’ forecast accuracy. We study whether analysts strategically manage decision fatigue. Firms within an analyst’s research portfolio can differentially affect the...

Because of the recent surge in the number of unicorns and their role in spurring entrepreneurship and social impacts, venture capitalists, entrepreneurs, and regulators are concerned about how startup firms are valued. This is due to a lack of financial and historical information about startups...

We examine whether the analysts can identify the managers’ tone management behavior conveyed through the management discussion and analysis section of corporate annual reports. We find that analysts can effectively identify the managers’ upward tone management behavior and lower their...

A significant proportion of sell-side analysts’ recommendation revisions are directionally inconsistent with their earnings forecast revisions. For example, analysts revise earnings forecasts upward (downward) while simultaneously downgrading (upgrading) the recommendation. Prior research is...

There is much evidence that passive equity strategies dominate active equity management, but many investors remain committed to active investing despite its poor relative performance. We explore the behavioral-economic hypothesis that investors fall prey to the conjunction fallacy, believing...