A common narrative is that COVID-19 cost Trump re-election. We do not find supporting evidence; if anything, the … effect, our estimates imply Trump would been on the precipice of re-election by winning Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, and only …

election. In response to a series of US tariffs imposed on Chinese goods, China imposed retaliatory tariffs, especially on US … tariffs and led to an increase in the Republican vote share in the 2020 presidential election. The impact is more pronounced … payments were not influential enough in swing states to win the election. Finally, we uncover evidence that China’s retaliatory …

according to the 1995 election law. We show that in the second and third weeks after the 2020 elections (held on October 9 …

What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … states, and in states that Trump won in 2016. A simple counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election …

What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …

What is the effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on the 2020 U.S. presidential election? Guided by a pre-analysis plan, we … counterfactual analysis suggests that Trump would likely have won re-election if COVID-19 cases had been 5 percent lower. Our paper …

Italian and Spanish regions from June 2020 to July 2021. The results reveal that incumbents up for the next near election are … competitiveness of the election is an important determinant of the strictness of the mitigation policies. Therefore, our results …

onset of the Coronavirus pandemic in 2020 and the asymmetric electoral schedule of presidential elections around the world …