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We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012698641
We show that the Brazilian trade liberalization in the early 1990s led to a permanent relative decline in the vote share of left-wing presidential candidates in the regions more affected by the tariff cuts. This happened even though the shock, implemented by a right-wing party, induced a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012668994
In this paper, we examine the extent to which a government's response to a pandemic affects election outcomes. Using … detailed data on South Korea's 21st legislative election, held in April 2020 during the COVID-19 pandemic, we find that a … the COVID infection rate been the same as the OECD average during the election period. Given that the observed result was …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213261
We analyze the consequences of the decision of French government to maintain the first round of the municipal elections on March 15, 2020 on local excess mortality in the following weeks. We exploit heterogeneity across municipalities in voter turnout, which we instrument using a measure of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012831244
We study the effect of the COVID-19 economic lockdown on electoral outcomes using data on municipal elections in Italy. We implement a difference-in-differences approach that exploits the variation across municipalities in the share of inactive workers due to the economic lockdown introduced by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013321781
the first and second ballot of the election, the state government announced a state of emergency with drastic measures to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012242044
Do voters place their trust in tried and tested leaders when uncertainty is high or do they prefer a new slate of leaders who are arguably more competent? To study this question, we make use of hand-collected data on 402,385 candidates who competed in open-list local council elections...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013347142
We study the effect of economic insecurity on electoral outcomes using data on municipal elections in Italy. We implement a difference-in-differences approach that exploits exogenous variation across municipalities in the share of inactive workers due to the economic lockdown introduced by the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549766
were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of “lockdown style” restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014346606
were from election dates. The gradual relaxation of "lockdown style" restrictions ahead of the elections was driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014310050