We conduct a novel empirical analysis of the role of leverage of financial institutions for the transmission of financial shocks to the macroeconomy. For that purpose, we develop an endogenous regime-switching structural vector autoregressive model with time-varying transition probabilities that...

This work quantifies the financial and macroeconomic effects of the most significant Brexit events from 23 June 2016 up to 31 December 2019 for fifteen economies. The study uses high-frequency data and shows that following the referendum outcome, overall the 10-year government bond yield of the...

We develop a quantitative approach to evaluate the roles of upstream (supplier-to-user), downstream (user-to-supplier) and common factor shock transmission across firms. Inter-firm networks are estimated from U.S. equities over 1989-2017 using machine learning techniques. We then employ a...

This paper establishes a methodology to elicit and quantify narratives from survey data using textual analysis. We extract thirteen narratives from daily US stockholder questionnaires conducted during the first-wave COVID-19 period and measure their prevalence over time. Survey-based narratives...

We measure the time-varying strength of macro-financial linkages within and across the US and euro area economies by employing a large set of information for each region. In doing so, we rely on factor models with drifting parameters where real and financial cycles are extracted, and shocks are...

The last decades have witnessed a significant increase in the share of zombie companies worldwide, i.e., companies which survive despite their inability to cover debt servicing costs from their current profits. Using extensive global firm-level data sets on publicly listed companies, we apply...

We test the existence of the balance sheet channel of monetary policy in a middle-income country. Firm-level data scarcity and quality, in such a context, make the identification of this channel a steep challenge. To circumvent this challenge, we use panel instrumental variables estimation with...

In this paper we assess the merits of financial condition indices constructed using simple averages versus a more sophisticated alternative that uses factor models with time varying parameters. Our analysis is based on data for 18 advanced and emerging economies at a monthly frequency covering...

We introduce a new software package for determining linkages between datasets without common identifiers. We apply these methods to three datasets commonly used in academic research on syndicated lending: Refinitiv LPC DealScan, the Shared National Credit Database, and S&P Global Market...

We review heterogeneous agent-based models of financial stability and their application in stress tests. In contrast to the mainstream approach, which relies heavily on the rational expectations assumption and focuses on situations where it is possible to compute an equilibrium, this approach...