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The 2008 financial crisis has shown that financial busts can influence the real economy. However, there is less evidence to suggest that the same holds for financial booms. Using a Markov-Switching vector autoregressive model and euro area data, I show that financial booms tend to be less...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011617592
This paper aims to investigate the interaction between monetary and fiscal policies in Turkey. For this purpose, a Bayesian Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) model with sign and zero restrictions is used. We particularly focus on how the fiscal and monetary policy variables respond to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012429632
We explore the use of external instrument SVAR to identify monetary policy shocks. We identify a forward guidance shock … as the monetary shock component having zero instant impact on the policy rate. A contractionary forward guidance shock …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011803281
We identify forward guidance shocks using external instrument structural vector autoregression (SVAR). Contractionary forward guidance shocks raise both future output and price level, and this suggests that monetary policy announcements affect the expected future rate path mainly by revealing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012947559
positive policy rate shock positively for all periods and have a hump shape for government debt security yields as well as for … all interest rates to the policy shock increase; (iii) the responses to the policy shock of credit interest rates with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012915255
Policymakers imposed constraints on public life in order to contain the Covid-19 pandemic. At the same time, fiscal and monetary policy implemented a large range of of expansionary measures to limit the economic consequences of the pandemic and stimulate the recovery. In this paper, we assess...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887221
This paper provides updated empirical evidence about the real and nominal effects of monetary policy in Italy, by using structural VAR analysis. We discuss different empirical approaches that have been used in order to identify monetary policy exogenous shocks. We argue that the data support the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014159121
We develop a new series of Canadian monetary policy shocks and analyze their impact on inflation and real GDP from 1996-2020. Our shocks are constructed as the daily change in the Nelson-Siegel yield curve factors after a monetary policy announcement. Because these shocks include information...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014252249
We develop a similarity-based structural vector autoregressive (SVAR) model using the similar clusters of data relevant for the prevailing initial macroeconomic conditions of interest. Our computationally attractive simple approach enables us to uncover time-varying effects of structural...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083015
This paper has adopted a Bayesian FAVAR approach to examine the monetary transmission mechanism in North Macedonia. The model is based on a broad data set that encompasses 140 monthly time series spanning between January 2010 and January 2019. In particular, the impact of policy on bank...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013549755