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We analyze three different mechanical models to forecast earnings and compare their forecasts with those of analysts … from analysts' forecasts more reliable than ICCs based on model forecasts? And 3) does higher forecast performance also … reliability of analyst-based ICCs seems to indicate a missing link between forecast performance and ICC reliability, in fact …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901020
This research aims to examine empirically the overreliance on representativeness heuristic and anchoring-adjustment influences experienced by investors in forecasting future earnings. This research was a laboratory experiment with a design of 2x2 full factorial between subject. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012502444
earnings forecasters, we see that small adjustments to the model forecasts lead to more forecast accuracy. Based on past track …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010490078
This paper presents results from an experiment and follow-up survey examining whether stock prices influence analysts' earnings forecasts. In our experiment, prices influence analysts' forecasts when uncertainty about future earnings is high, but not when uncertainty is low. Additional analyses...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013139640
assessment is relative to extrapolative time-series models of earnings forecasts. The paper's results show that the forecast … on extrapolative models' forecast errors is stronger than on analysts'. This finding is consistent with analysts' better … ability relative to extrapolative models to forecast the earnings of intangible firms, and with analysts' ability to process …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013113385
This paper compares and contrasts two accounting information systems, the aggregate earnings system and the disaggregated cash flow/accrual system, examining their relative performance in stock valuation and in forecasting of earnings. It finds, in general, that the forecasts of earnings and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088381
The state of the art in the analyst forecasting literature is that analyst earnings forecast ability is only firm … absence of a “spillover” effect, i.e., investors do not consider an analyst's earnings forecast ability regarding firm k when … reacting to his earnings forecast revision for firm j. We re-examine the issue of whether or not earnings forecast ability is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013070639
also find that effective audit committees strengthen the association between management and analyst forecast accuracy. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013074118
: forecasting accuracy, forecast bias, and forecasting efficiency. Analysts' data are based on I/B/E/S. Our analysis shows the rapid …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158239
forecast properties. The evidence shows that analysts' earnings forecast accuracy is higher and the forecast dispersion is … higher forecast accuracy and less forecast dispersion in the non-Big Five auditor sample but not in the Big Five auditor …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012773262