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We estimate the effect of consolidation efforts on investors' perception of government's solvency. To this end, we analyze announcements by Dutch government officials between September 2008 and December 2014 and select those messages that contain relevant new information on the likelihood and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926531
-term sovereign bond spread of Italy relative to Germany. After collecting data on relevant fiscal policy announcements, we perform an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013047985
-term sovereign bond spread of Italy relative to Germany. After collecting data on relevant fiscal policy announcements, we perform an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011729077
Austerity measures are frequently enacted when the sustainability of public finances is in doubt. Such doubts are reflected in high sovereign yield spreads and put further strain on government finances. Is austerity successful in restoring market confidence, bringing about a reduction in yield...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010481328
Policy makers often implement austerity measures when the sustainability of public finances is in doubt and, hence, sovereign yield spreads are high. Is austerity successful in bringing about a reduction in yield spreads? We employ a new panel data set which contains sovereign yield spreads for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010463604
I analyze the impact of austerity on sovereign spreads. To do so I propose a model with strategic sovereign default and nominal rigidities where the government follows fiscal rules, which are estimated from data. I first analyze the theoretical implications of the model and find that austerity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012663666
Does fiscal austerity influence sovereign debt spreads in a state-dependent manner? To investigate this, we develop an endogenous sovereign default model that incorporates long-maturity debt, fiscal rules, and investment. We uncover novel insights in the Greek default. First, our model provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353023
Fiscal policy matters for bond risk premia. Empirically, government spending level and volatility predict excess bond … returns. Shocks to government spending level and volatility are also priced in the cross-section of bond and stock portfolios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902908
-term sovereign bond spread of Italy relative to Germany. After collecting data on relevant fiscal policy announcements, we perform an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013020806
We estimate the short-run reactions of bond spreads of selected EU member states vis-à-vis the German bund on fiscal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013394382