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pandemic recession. We first measure the contribution of temporary layoffs to unemployment dynamics over the period 1979 to the … due to “loss-of-recall”, whereby workers in temporary-layoff unemployment lose their job permanently and do so at higher … both temporary-layoff and jobless unemployment. The model captures well pre-pandemic unemployment dynamics and shows how …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014082355
small reduction in the unemployment benefits, or introducing a small cash bonus for workers that get a new job, may have no … e.ect on unemployment in some cases, while eradicating significant levels of unemployment in other cases. Our analysis … multiple equilibria may exist in a game involving both workers and an unemployment-averse government. Furthermore, we explore a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011409750
understanding that their jobs still exist and that they will be recalled. We show that the resulting temporary-layoff unemployment … mostly dissipated by the end of 2020. Potential workers without jobs constitute what we call jobless unemployment. Shocks … that elevate jobless unemployment have much more persistent effects. Historical major adverse shocks, such as the financial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168892
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-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469164
In recessions, unemployment increases despite the--perhaps counterintuitive--fact that the number of unemployed workers … finding jobs expands. We propose a theory of unemployment fluctuations resting on this countercyclicality of gross flows from … unemployment into employment. In recessions, the abundance of new hires "congests" the jobs the unemployed fill--diminishing their …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012533320
-cycle-frequency fluctuations in unemployment and job vacancies in response to shocks of a plausible magnitude. In the U.S., the vacancy-unemployment … vacancy-unemployment ratio and labor productivity have nearly the same variance. I establish this claim both using analytical … small movement along a downward sloping Beveridge curve (unemployment-vacancy locus). A shock to the job destruction rate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013218505
Can governmental policies mitigate the effects of recessions on unemployment? We study whether the Swiss short …-time work (STW) program reduced unemployment in the 2009-2015 period using quarterly establishment-level panel data linking … several administrative data sources. We compare changes in permanent layoffs into unemployment, hiring from unemployment …
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