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heterogeneous agents who may adopt various forecast heuristics. We seek to understand which framework mimics real-world adjustments …
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various forecast heuristics. With a focus on consumer expectations, we identify the most appropriate pairs of forecast … heuristics that can lead to an equivalent fit to the data compared with the model specification under rational expectations. The …
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agents who may adopt various heuristics used to forecast future movements in consumption. Agents could exhibit an optimistic … likely technical in nature (with respect to fundamentalists and chartists). These heuristics lead to an equivalent or even …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011635481
Although it is generally accepted that consumer confidence measures are informative signals about the state of the economy, theoretical macroeconomic models designed for the analysis of monetary policy typically do not provide a role for them. I develop a framework with asymmetric information in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269096
Identifiability of the parameters is an important precondition for consistent estimation of models designed to describe empirical phenomena. Nevertheless, many estimation exercises proceed without a preliminary investigation into the identifiability of its models. As a consequence, the estimates...
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, financial market participants use heuristics to assess the risk premium over the policy rate in accordance to an "implicit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011988688