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Karni and Viero (2013) propose a model of belief revision under growing awareness reverse Bayesianism which posits that as a person becomes aware of new acts, consequences, or act-consequence links, she revises her beliefs over an expanded state space in a way that preserves the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705274
Karni and Vierø (2013) propose a model of belief revision under growing awareness- reverse Bayesianism- which posits that as a person becomes aware of new acts, conse- quences, or act-consequence links, she revises her beliefs over an expanded state space in a way that preserves the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938976
Karni and Viero (2013) propose a model of belief revision under growing awareness reverse Bayesianism which posits that as a person becomes aware of new acts, consequences, or act-consequence links, she revises her beliefs over an expanded state space in a way that preserves the relative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012320173
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013374968
This paper extends our earlier work on reverse Bayesianism by relaxing the assumption that decision makers abide by expected utility theory, assuming instead weaker axioms that merely imply that they are probabilistically sophisticated. We show that our main results, namely, (modified)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368284
behavior. This paper models this awareness of unawareness and axiomatizes a probabilistic sophisticated representation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010368297
long time horizons in the presence of growing awareness and awareness of unawareness. The framework generalizes both the … standard event-tree framework and the framework from Karni and Viero (2017) of awareness of unawareness. Axioms and a … analysis of intertemporal problems with unawareness. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011939439
Bayesian Updating is the dominant theory of learning in economics. The theory is silent about how individuals react to events that were previously unforeseeable or unforeseen. Recent theoretical literature has put forth axiomatic frameworks to analyze the unknown. In particular, we test if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012322620
Bayesian Updating is the dominant theory of learning in economics. The theory is silent about how individuals react to events that were previously unforeseeable or unforeseen. Recent theoretical literature has put forth axiomatic frameworks to analyze the unknown. In particular, we test if...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425568
This paper invokes the axiomatic approach to explore the notion of growing awareness in the context of decision making under uncertainty. It introduces a new approach to modeling the expanding universe of a decision maker in the wake of becoming aware of new consequences, new acts, and new links...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010397795