This paper shows that market breadth, i.e. the difference between the average number of rising stocks and the average number of falling stocks within a portfolio, is a robust predictor of future stock returns on market and industry portfolios for 64 countries for the period between 1973 and...

We perform a test of the inflation hedging properties of commodities on the longest data series ever used for this purpose. We apply wavelet analysis to commodity prices and inflation data from the United Kingdom for the years 1265 through 2017, to detect co-movement across different times and...

Is there a short-term reversal effect outside the universe of individual stocks? To answer this, we investigate a comprehensive dataset of more than two centuries of returns on five major asset classes: equity indices, government bonds, treasury bills, commodities, and currencies. Contrary to...

Is asset pricing segmented or integrated in frontier equity markets? To answer this question, we examine the returns on more than 4,500 stocks from 22 frontier countries for the years 1997–2018. We evaluate the performance of a few major asset pricing models. We document strong value and...

We present a novel explanation of the cross-sectional seasonality anomaly in government bond returns. The macroeconomic risk premia may accrue unevenly during the calendar year, and the pattern may be transferred to government bond prices. We decompose the seasonality strategy payoffs into...

Is the value spread useful for forecasting returns on quantitative equity strategies for country selection? To test this, we examine a sample of 120 country-level equity strategies replicated within 72 stock markets for the years 1996–2017. The value spread is a powerful and robust predictor...

This study examines the momentum effect in the returns of factor premia representing a broad set of stock market strategies. Using cross-sectional and time-series tests, we investigate the performance persistence of market, value, size, momentum, low-risk, and quality premia within a sample of...

The perspective of behavioral finance is that anomalies in the cross-section of returns are driven by mispricing that arises from investor irrationality that cannot be easily arbitraged away. In this study, we examine the implications of this for international government bond markets. Using data...

This study investigates the momentum effect in factor premia in international government bond markets. The investigations are based on a range of fixed-income factor strategies related to volatility, credit risk, value, and momentum that are tested in a sample of data from 25 countries for the...