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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014228681
We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment …. Step 1: estimate individual transition hazards across employment, temporary layoff, permanent layoff, quitter, entrant, and … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827541
We propose a three-step factor-flows simulation-based approach to forecast the duration distribution of unemployment …. Step 1: estimate individual transition hazards across employment, temporary layoff, permanent layoff, quitter, entrant, and … individual duration dependence, factor structure, and an auxiliary forecast of the unemployment rate to simulate a panel of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481421
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This paper analyzes how effective macroeconomic policy actions are in ending recessions. We also investigate which structural factors help the country to get out of recessions, in other words experience shorter recessions. We implement survival regression analysis and conclude that expansionary...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120859
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This report discusses the economic impact of the Coronavirus/COVID-19 crisis across industries, and countries. It also … the date of this report, the duration of the lockdown, as well as how the recovery will take place is still unknown. That …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012703975
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