We study the Beaudry and Portier (2006)-hypothesis of delayed-technology diffusion and news-driven business cycles. For German data on TFP and stock prices we find qualitatively similar empirical evidence. Quantitatively, however, an impulse response analysis suggests that a substantial part of...

We study the Beaudry and Portier (2006)-hypothesis of delayed-technology diffusion and newsdriven business cycles. For German data on TFP and stock prices we find qualitatively similar empirical evidence. Quantitatively, however, an impulse response analysis suggests that a substantial part of...

There are several candidate explanations for macro-fluctuations. Two of the most common discussed sources are surprise changes in disembodied technology and monetary innovations. Another popular explanation is found under the heading of a preference or more generally a demand shock. More...

This paper follows the footprints of Arthur F. Burns and Wesley C. Mitchell in their methodology of business cycle research as developed and implemented at the National Bureau of Economic Research. Turning points of the West German business cycle are identified using the Bry-Boschan procedure...

Destabilizing political incidents may have dramatic effects on economic conditions. Foreign creditors and investors, in particular, may be reluctant to lend resources to a country whose internal stability seems shaky. We use a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to quantify the effect...

The time series properties of German GDP have been re-examined in recent research. Extending the sample to include GDP data from 1950 onwards, some researchers argued in favor of a trend-stationary rather than difference stationary representation of real log GDP. We show that this conclusion is...

Why is there a negative correlation between business cycles in Jordan and the EU15? This paper explores the hypothesis that TFP increases in Europe spill over to Jordan only if embodied in FDI, but that European TFP growth negatively affects the Jordanian economy through higher world interest...