We study how professional forecasters form equity market expectations based on a new micro-level dataset which includes rich cross-sectional information about individual characteristics. We focus on testing whether agents rely on the beliefs of others, i.e., consensus expectations, when forming...

In this paper we examine the interactions between the U.S. stock market and the Chinese stock market in the scope of market microstructure. In particular, first time in the literature, we examine the forecasting ability of the stock performance in one market to predict the direction of the stock...

We explore whether economic links via trade affect aggregate Chinese stock market returns. We find that market return indices from countries that China net exports from can forecast the Chinese aggregate market return at the weekly time horizon. Countries that China net exports to have no...

This paper investigates co-movement in eight Latin-American stock markets (Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador, Mexico, Peru, and Venezuela) using common factor analysis. The common factors are obtained using principal component analysis (PCA) and therefore account for the maximum...

This paper revisits some recently found evidence in the literature on the cross-section of stock returns for a carefully constructed dataset of euro area stocks. First, we confirm recent results for U.S. data and find evidence of a negative cross-sectional relation between extreme positive...

This paper proposes a modified version of the widely used price and moving average cross-over trading strategies. The suggested approach (presented in its 'long only' version) is a combination of cross-over 'buy' signals and a dynamic threshold value which acts as a dynamic trailing stop. The...

We analyze the dynamics of price jumps and the impact of the European debt crisis using the high-frequency data reported by selected stock exchanges on the European continent during the period January 2008 to June 2012. We employ two methods to identify price jumps: Method 1 minimizes the...

Similar to the cross-sectional momentum crashes, the time series momentum experiences deep and persistent drawdowns in the stressed time of slumps in the upward momentum, rebounds in the downward momentum, and long time sideways market. We measure the upside and downside risk using the upper and...

This paper investigates the relationship between exchange rates and stock markets for 4 East-European countries, using a sample of 3,500 daily returns during the period 2000-2014. The research method used is Bayesian VAR for the solution of degrees of freedom specific to the VAR technique and...

We present three in-detail quantitative trading ideas for equity markets in China and Japan. First idea discusses the emerging 50 ETF option markets in China and the feasibility of a covered call strategy. Second idea evaluates the opportunities implied by the ETF purchase program of Bank of...