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We study survival, price impact and portfolio impact in heterogeneous economies. We show that, under the equilibrium risk-neutral measure, long-run price impact is in fact equivalent to survival, whereas longrun portfolio impact is equivalent to survival under an agent-specific, wealth-forward...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003979998
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
ambiguity leads to portfolio inertia and excess volatility. Specifically, when news is surprising, then investors may not react … volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013133587
to a “volatility shock” in one of the asset markets, under sufficiently realistic assumptions about the fund manager … volatility in emerging markets …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075518
We empirically show across several broad asset classes that sectoral wealth shares do not positively correlate with their risk premia---a first-order prediction of canonical equilibrium models. We then analyze the roles mean-variance and hedging demand play in accounting for sectoral shifts...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012957172
We propose a Multivariate Volatility Regulated Kelly strategy, which has extra penalization on variance compared to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960889
Several analysts report explosive annualized Sharpe Ratios (ASRs) for investment portfolio performance evaluation of high frequency traders (HFTers) ranging from 4.3 to 5,000. This suggests that the profitability of HFT is much higher than that of other actively managed portfolios. In highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937216
S&P 500 Index option-based volatility indexes have untenable risk-return profiles. These volatility indexes are not … designed with consideration of important real-world risk characteristics of options and fail to represent volatility as a … cardinal characteristics of options on S&P 500 Index, central to designing viable volatility investment strategies, are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012865881
With model uncertainty characterized by a convex, possibly non-dominated set of probability measures, the investor minimizes the cost of hedging a path dependent contingent claim with given expected success ratio, in a discrete-time, semi-static market of stocks and options. Based on duality...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972859
Downside volatility and volatility typically comove but are not highly correlated during the most volatile times. We … show that portfolios scaled by downside volatility expand the ex post mean-variance frontiers constructed using the … original portfolios and volatility-managed portfolios of Moreira and Muir (2017), and improve the Sharpe ratios of the ex post …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851535