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We extend the basic (representative-household) New Keynesian [NK] model of the monetary transmission mechanism to allow for a spread between the interest rate available to savers and borrowers, that can vary for either exogenous or endogenous reasons. We find that the mere existence of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011506667
We explore the term structures of claims to a variety of cash flows: U.S. government bonds (claims to dollars), foreign government bonds (claims to foreign currency), inflation-adjusted bonds (claims to the price index), and equity (claims to future equity indexes or dividends). Average term...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011538004
Entgegen früherer Studien, die darauf hinweisen, dass der gesamte Credit Spread eines Bonds durchdas mit diesem Bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009418817
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503131
In this paper we present a new methodology for modelling the development of the prices of defaultable zero coupon bonds that is inspired by the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) approach to risk-free interest rate modelling. Instead of precisely specifying the mechanism that triggers the default we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009138377
We examine the informational content of TIPS yields from the viewpoint of a general 3-factor no-arbitrage term structure model of inflation and interest rates. Our empirical results indicate that TIPS yields contained a "liquidity premium" that was until recently quite large (~1%). Key features...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305113
This paper introduces bond market order flow as a predictor variable in term structuremodels and provides evidence that … indicates that bond order flow contains information about future bondprices that is not fully incorporated into the current …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009305181
Several authors have shown that there exists a significant relationship between the term structure of interest rates and future changes in the rate of inflation. More recently, this relationship has been strengthened through the introduction of nonlinearities and regime shifts. This paper...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005857756
displays ambiguity aversion, modeled by Multiple Priors Recursive Utility. Bond excess returns reflect a premium for ambiguity …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858032
With increasing appreciation of the fact that stock return variance is stochastic and variance risk is heavily priced, the industry has created a series of variance derivative products to span variance risk. The variance swap contract is the most actively traded of these products. It pays at...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005858375