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We show that there is strong commonality in the volatility of a wide range of diversified equity portfolios. Common factor volatility (CFV) exists even when factor or anomaly returns are market-adjusted and does not appear to be attributable to common microstructure noise or a lack of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012833463
Several recent studies have documented a significant decline in the propensity to pay dividends over the past 30 years. However, dividends are only one component of a firm's payout policy and it is unclear whether the proportion of firms making net positive payments to shareholders has also...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012729198
Previous empirical studies find both evidence of jumps in asset prices and that returns standardized by `realized volatility' are approximately standard normal. These findings appear to be contradictory. Using a sample of high-frequency returns for 20 heavily-traded US stocks, we show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012735010
This study examines evidence of instability in models of ex post predictable components in stock returns related to structural breaks in the coefficients of state variables such as the lagged dividend yield, short interest rate, term spread and default premium. We estimate linear models of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012736390
A large literature measures the effects of monetary policy shocks on asset prices. We promote a data-driven approach to designating monetary surprises via econometric tests for asset price jumps. Applying these tests, we identify the specific Fed communications that generate surprises....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904012
This paper constructs and analyzes various measures of trading costs in US equity markets covering the period 1926–2015. These measures contain statistically and economically significant predictive signals for stock market returns and real economic activity. We decompose illiquidity proxies...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012937697
We compare the stock return forecasting performance of alternative payout yields. The net payout yield produces more accurate forecasts relative to alternatives, including the traditional dividend yield. This remains true even after excluding several years during the Great Depression when...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012973823
We characterize jump dynamics in stock market returns using a novel series of intraday prices covering over 80 years. Jump dynamics vary substantially over time. Trends in jump activity relate to secular shifts in the nature of news. Unscheduled news drives jump activity in early decades,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012851678
We study the interaction between firm uncertainty and corporate policies, emphasizing the role of asymmetries in the distribution of performance shocks. Conditional on volatility and other characteristics, firms with more negatively skewed performance shocks adopt more conservative policies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852277
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012629716