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We substantially improve cross-sectional earnings forecast models, such as Hou, van Dijk, and Zhang (2012), by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405879
Previous research finds that historical seasonal earnings rank negatively predicts stock returns surrounding earnings announcements (EAs) in China’s A-share markets. We examine whether management earnings forecasts (MEFs) help reduce the stock return seasonality associated with earnings...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014255146
components remain associated with analysts’ forecast errors. Further, we document that higher uncertainty in firm performance … of where and when analysts derive OCI-related information, we document that analysts’ forecast revisions correlate with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014087078
The aim of our study is to determine, within the area of Listed Spanish companies, whether analyst forecasts constitute an incentive to manage earnings (upwards to achieve them or downwards to avoid exceeding them) and whether this incentive acquires the same or different importance for the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028788
' future profitability, operating income, analysts' forecast errors, and stock market returns. At the same token, researchers … a lack of understanding how earnings quality affects profitability forecast models. This paper comprehensively explores … previous financial statement analysis literature that changes in firms' profit margin do not provide incremental usefulness for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013030758
analysts. After controlling for the distance to the nearest forecast, our evidence shows that firms are more likely to beat an … incremental forecast with a decrease in ETR compared to missing an incremental forecast with an increase in ETR. Our study …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227692
This study examines whether the market reacts more strongly to earnings forecast revisions when financial analysts … supplement their earnings forecasts with sales forecasts. I find that earnings forecast revisions supplemented with sales … forecast revisions have a greater impact on security prices than do stand-alone earnings forecast revisions, controlling for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013141328
reflect the predictable component of analyst forecast errors. This evidence conflicts with conclusions in prior research … characteristic and analyst forecasts predicts future analyst forecast errors, forecast revisions, and changes in buy …/sell recommendations. I document abnormal returns to a strategy that sorts firms based on predicted forecast errors, consistent with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013094105
By issuing earnings forecasts for both current and future years simultaneously, managers provide the multi-year data required for many valuation models and help investors sort out transitory and permanent shocks. We find that firms that are overpriced and have more transitory earnings tend to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012823209
The range of non-EPS forecast types provided by individual analysts to I/B/E/S has increased dramatically over time but … varies considerably across firms. We propose that in providing a broader range of forecast types analysts can signal superior … forecast types (NFT) an analyst provides and common proxies for research quality including earnings forecast accuracy, price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014353865